Archive for July, 2009

WiFi is now free at Barnes & Noble stores

Caribou coffee offers free WiFi to everyone. Starbucks gives 2 hours of access daily to their Rewards Members. Barnes & Nobles is one of a few more places where I regularly go to work and finally they are opening up wireless access to the web as well. The lack of WiFi has been the biggest reason why I didn’t come to the place more often.

The announcement has more than anything to do with the eBook store B&N launched earlier this month, a store competing with the Amazon’s library of eBooks for the Kindle reader. B&N doesn’t offer a dedicated reader device yet but there is an application for iPhone and BlackBerry that you can use to view books on (as well as using your laptop). The prices on new releases are similar to Amazon’s $9.99 but you also get access to over 500,000 free (public domain) books via Google Books.

I don’t have the Kindle and I have always been reluctant to buy a device with proprietary/closed architecture which Kindle is. The latest scandal about Amazon pulling eBooks has reassured me about my choice. That said I would very much like to get myself an e-Ink device and if B&N comes out with one I will certainly take a look.

Anatomy of a shopping discount

Having a sale every day is a bad idea, but retailers are afraid to stop.
– Rama Ramakrishnan, former chief scientist of Oracle Retail

Why are there shopping discounts? Would not it be much simpler to find what you need, and just buy it at the lowest price in the market? Instead we are bombarded with marketing tricks called “shopping discounts” that turn our decision making into a nightmare. I have recently read a wonderful book called Cheap: The High Cost of Discount Culture where the author, Ellen Shell, offers her opinion on what exactly drives us to buy things and what role discounts play in our culture. In this blog post I would like to share some of her thoughts as well as add my own take on the subject.

The illusion of a price

The survival strategies of our ancient ancestors did not include learning the art of assigning monetary values to things. Barter, not money, was essential part of the ancient lifestyle for a very long time. Money as the concept is nothing but a small speck in the history of humankind and naturally people have not had the time to develop the proper skill. Monetary values are abstract, highly variable, and vulnerable to the power of suggestion and manipulation: People will pay more or less for the same thing depending on the context of the transaction.

Duke University professor Daniel Ariely — an economist and author of Predictably Irrational – once set an experiment in which he offered to recite his students a poem. Half the students were asked whether they would pay $2 for the pleasure of hearing him read, while the other half were asked if they would be willing to listen if they were paid $2. Then both sets of students were asked whether they would attend the recitation if it were free. Only 8% of the students who were offered money were willing to attend the performance without pay, compared with 35% of the students who were originally asked to pay to hear it. As you can see the “framing” of the event clearly influenced its perceived value.

The real-life example is outlet malls. Remote location of outlet malls is not merely a defensive, cost-saving maneuver directed to cut costs by taking advantage of low real estate prices and tax benefits. It is also a deliberate strategy. In the public mind, convenience is a trade-off for price, and price is traded off for convenience. Inconvenience connotes cheap, while convenience connotes pricy.

The pressure of a discount

Shopping is not a rational exercise but a process fraught with emotions raging from guilt to jubilation. Shopping forces us to extrapolate future needs from current evidence, a surprisingly difficult task. How do we really know what we will want or need tomorrow, let alone a month from now? The main problem is that shopping is for later, but for humans the “here” and “now” is always more important.

Thanks to what psychologists call Hyperbolic Discounting, humans are able to think rationally when a reward is significantly delayed. But as the reward gets closer, our passions lead us to fits of impulsiveness. This is not a terrible deep insight: Everyone knows that it’s easy to make resolutions for the future but far harder to put those resolutions into immediate practice.

Retailers can take advantage of this by offering “exploding discounts,” price reductions rigged like an arbitrary time bomb. Exploding discounts work by really heightening the emotions, whether you need it or not, the time limit itself gives you a reason to act now. The emotional response is “Buy it now, or it will be gone”. You are focusing on the present, not the future, and that’s where they want you to focus, because we are all much more emotional about the present and more rational about the future.

Different discount flavors

In addition to a direct reduction of price, discounts come in a couple more flavors, each designed to elicit a different consumer response: coupons and mail-in rebates. Coupons are less dangerous for retailers than direct discounts. Someone has to physically cut it out and bring the coupon to the store, and not everyone is willing to do that. Coupons are a way of having two prices: a price-sensitive person will use the coupon and get a lower price, while a less price sensitive person might be willing to pay the full price.

Rebates do something similar using a very different strategy. The catch is that no matter how much we enjoy the idea of rebates and account for them in our buying calculus, few of us enjoy filling for rebates. Rebate redemption rates are very low, hovering in the 5 to 10 percent range for many items.

Discounts can hurt businesses’ bottom line but retailers employ numerous marketing tricks to maximize profits and negate the discount effects. For example at McDonard’s and many other fast-food restaurants, the lighting tends to be unflattering fluorescent, and the seats are bolted to the floor at an awkward distance from the tables. The purpose of this is not to prevent theft of the chairs, as you may think, but to discourage elders, teenagers, and other undesirables from getting comfortable and congregating for hours over a small coffee, or an order of fries.

Time is money (freebies)

Free is a category unto itself, It can rob us of our reason. Razor blade maker King Camp Gillette took full advantage of this temporary insanity. Gillette grew rich handing out free safety razors to generate demand for his pricey disposable blades. The business model was later called Freebie Marketing and expanded into many more areas of our life ranging from entertainment to household items to office equipment.

How do freebies work? Very low prices tend to make us overvalue the deal. This is a boon for merchants who know that as their price approaches zero, consumers tend to lower their expectations and become more willing to endure significant costs, generally the highest cost being their time. We all know that time is money but research shows that most of us fail to calculate the opportunity cost of time, and when reminded of it, we tend to underestimate its value.

Conclusion

Discounts may be calibrated mathematically, but their impact is felt viscerally and deeply. As do sex, alcohol, and drugs, discounts tap into our brain’s pleasure center and sap our reason. Distracted, we make mistakes. We overvalue what we say matters very little, such as saving a few pennies and undervalue what we say matters very much, variety, quality and - most important - our time. Understanding the “magic” discounts work on our brains is important for coming up with an effective strategy to help us counteract the problem – something that will probably be a topic of one of my future blog posts.

eBay drops listing fee for 5 items every month

ebay-drops-fee

Finally some good news for occasional eBay sellers like myself, eBay is launching new fee structure where you are “forgiven” the listing fee for the first 5 items you sell every 30 days and the closing fee is calculated as 8.75% of the closing value or $20 total for first 5 listings (whatever is less). Not a big deal if you sell small stuff but can mean significant savings for more expensive auctions.

eBay has been long under fire for favoring big sellers and many have been fleeing to Amazon and other alternative auction sites. As the result May months page views for eBay.com are down 32 percent from a year earlier according to this New York times article. This last move is clearly in the right direction but will it save eBay?

List 5 items every 30 days— pay NO Insertion Fees (via Lifehacker)

Popular Coupon Sites – June 2009

This is June 2009 revision of the Popular Coupon sites list. You can find the previous revision of the list here.

The change in rating shows the difference compared to May results. This list currently has 33 sites - one less than in May. On average the coupon sites have gained (1.94%) in June.

The best performer is couponmountain.com (24.32%), which stays at the same relative position, and the worst result comes from thegrocerygame.com (9.58%) which also slides down by one position. Enjoy the complete list below!

# Web Site Alexa Rank Page Rank Online Since
1 coupons.com 1394 (-0.72%) 6 07-Sep-1994
2 retailmenot.com (info) 1456 (4.71%) 6 27-Oct-2006
3 eversave.com 1773 (0.78%) 5 08-Apr-1999
4 coolsavings.com 2308 (1.7%) 6 03-Jun-1996
5 couponmountain.com 3498 (24.32%) 5 05-May-2001
6 couponcabin.com 8310 (0.3%) 6 (1) 27-Feb-2003
7 coupons.smartsource.com 12459 (-3.89%) 6 (1) 27-Apr-1995
8 (1) mycoupons.com 17599 (9.38%) 5 16-Feb-1999
9 (1) savings.com 18063 (9.83%) 5 20-Apr-1995
10 (2) couponmom.com 18369 (-9%) 6 25-Jun-2002
11 tjoos.com 21488 (17.18%) 4 16-Jun-2007
12 (1) hotcouponworld.com 30816 (6.99%) 4 15-Jun-2006
13 (1) ultimatecoupons.com 32592 (0.1%) 4 02-Jul-2001
14 fabuloussavings.com 34863 (-1.7%) 5 27-Jan-1999
15 valpak.com 37071 (2.08%) 6 22-Jun-1994
16 deallocker.com 39021 (1.26%) 5 24-Mar-2007
17 (1) couponwinner.com 40818 (0.7%) 5 (1) 30-Jan-2006
18 (1) wow-coupons.com 41963 (-0.2%) 4 (-1) 26-Nov-2003
19 (1) couponchief.com 42813 (0.71%) 5 15-Jan-2005
20 (3) 8coupons.com 43225 (-8.65%) 5 11-Jun-2006
21 couponcodes4u.com 44576 (6.53%) 4 01-Aug-2007
22 (1) flamingoworld.com 55243 (2.3%) 5 19-May-1999
23 (1) thegrocerygame.com 55883 (-9.58%) 5 28-Aug-2001
24 couponseven.com 60526 (-2.92%) 3 23-May-2006
25 (1) couponcode.com 61611 (7.47%) 5 24-Feb-2002
26 (1) couponbug.com 67020 (-5.51%) 6 24-Apr-2002
27 couponsurfer.com 70665 (-1.86%) 5 11-Feb-1998
28 currentcodes.com 81161 (-2.6%) 5 (-1) 27-Dec-2000
29 (1) webbyplanet.com 81646 (0.45%) 4 09-Feb-2006
30 (1) couponshare.com 83093 (-3.31%) 3 21-Jan-2002
31 gogoshopper.com 89920 (3.01%) 4 16-Dec-1999
32 (3) cellfire.com 96494 (14.32%) 5 23-Jun-2004
33 (1) couponheaven.com 98046 (-0.16%) 3 28-Sep-2003

Average: 1.9397744350908

Popular price comparison sites – June 2009

This is June 2009 revision of the Popular Price Comparison web sites list. You can find the last month revision of the list here.

The change in rating shows the difference compared to May results. The list has a total of 33 web sites which is the same number as the last month. There are 18 more sites in my database that don’t meet Alexa Rank < 100,000 requirement.

The best performer this month is bottomdollar.com (24.73%) followed by dealighted.com with a gain of (15.17%). The worst performer this month is again bestwebbuys with a loss of (-19.4%) followed by calibex (-19.38%). Please enjoy the complete list below.

# Web Site Alexa Rank Page Rank Online Since
1 google.com/products 1 (*) 7 11-Sep-2001
2 shopping.yahoo.com 2 (*) 8 18-Jan-1995
3 bing.com/shopping 5 (*) 9 (7) 22-May-2008
4 shopping.aol.com 32 (*) 7 22-Jun-1995
5 shopper.cnet.com (info) 69 (*) (5.48%) 8 05-Jul-1996
6 (1) shopping.com 512 (6.74%) 6 03-Jul-1997
7 (1) nextag.com 549 (-9.15%) 7 15-Oct-1998
8 bizrate.com 719 (-7.8%) 7 24-Apr-1996
9 shoplocal.com 1106 (-1.56%) 7 24-Sep-1998
10 shopzilla.com 1300 (-3.42%) 6 04-Jul-2002
11 pronto.com 1352 (-6.12%) 8 01-Jan-2006
12 pricegrabber.com (info) 1406 (0.42%) 7 10-Mar-1999
13 smarter.com 1644 (3.97%) 6 28-Apr-1998
14 (1) thefind.com (info) 1903 (9.9%) 6 19-Oct-2006
15 (1) epinions.com 2046 (1.96%) 7 12-Feb-1999
16 dealtime.com 2472 (5.25%) 6 07-Oct-1998
17 become.com 3285 (5.66%) 6 20-Jan-2004
18 shopwiki.com 4662 (-12.91%) 5 15-Dec-2004
19 (1) retrevo.com 5881 (2.5%) 6 10-May-2006
20 (1) dealio.com 6023 (-15.16%) 5 08-Sep-2004
21 like.com 8250 (-14.31%) 6 22-Feb-1995
22 pricerunner.com 8545 (1.35%) 6 19-May-1999
23 mysimon.com 8565 (1.23%) 8 15-Apr-1998
24 (1) ebates.com 12006 (2.76%) 6 29-Dec-1998
25 (1) calibex.com 12161 (-19.38%) 5 02-Oct-2000
26 (2) bottomdollar.com 16246 (24.73%) 0 04-Jul-1997
27 (1) pricewatch.com 16790 (-4.01%) 6 26-Sep-1995
28 (1) dealighted.com (info) 17118 (15.17%) 6 09-Oct-2006
29 (1) hawkee.com 38184 (**) (11.08%) 5 02-Jan-1997
30 (1) sortprice.com 38221 (-5.4%) 4 (-1) 15-Jan-2004
31 bestwebbuys.com 53050 (-19.4%) 5 06-Jan-1998
32 pricescan.com 56458 (-7.26%) 6 03-Sep-1997
33 streetprices.com 68919 (1.41%) 5 16-Oct-1997

(*) Note: traffic stats for these sites is an aggregate of all traffic to the top domain (e.g. Yahoo.com or Google.com) and thus cannot be used to judge how popular this particular price comparison service is.

(**) Note: the web site is a portal with price comparison engine being one of the offered web services. Alexa rank cannot be used to judge how popular this price comparison engine is.




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